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Infected pancreatic necrosis: outcomes and clinical predictors of mortality. A post hoc analysis of the MANCTRA-1 international study

dc.contributor.authorPodda, M.*
dc.contributor.authorPellino, G.*
dc.contributor.authorDi Saverio, S.*
dc.contributor.authorCoccolini, F.*
dc.contributor.authorPacella, D.*
dc.contributor.authorCioffi, S.P.B.*
dc.contributor.authorVirdis, F.*
dc.contributor.authorBalla, A.*
dc.contributor.authorIelpo, B.*
dc.contributor.authorPata, F.*
dc.contributor.authorPoillucci, G.*
dc.contributor.authorOrtenzi, M.*
dc.contributor.authorDamaskos, D.*
dc.contributor.authorDe Simone, B.*
dc.contributor.authorSartelli, M.*
dc.contributor.authorLeppaniemi, A.*
dc.contributor.authorJayant, K.*
dc.contributor.authorCatena, F.*
dc.contributor.authorGiuliani, A.*
dc.contributor.authorDi Martino, M.*
dc.contributor.authorPisanu, A.*
dc.contributor.authorGerardi, C.*
dc.contributor.authorGourgiotis, S.*
dc.contributor.authorRiboni, C.*
dc.contributor.authorGiordano, A.*
dc.contributor.authorFerrario, L.*
dc.contributor.authorAgnoletti, V.*
dc.contributor.authorKruger, Y.*
dc.contributor.authorMole, D.*
dc.contributor.authorAgresta, F.*
dc.contributor.authorPrieto Calvo, M.*
dc.contributor.authorWilson, M.*
dc.contributor.authorSoggiu, F.*
dc.contributor.authorHamdan, A.*
dc.contributor.authorGomes, C.A.*
dc.contributor.authorFraga, G.*
dc.contributor.authorIoannidis, A.*
dc.contributor.authorDemetrashvili, Z.*
dc.contributor.authorSahani, S.*
dc.contributor.authorBains, L.*
dc.contributor.authorKhamees, A.*
dc.contributor.authorAbabneh, H.*
dc.contributor.authorAljaiuossi, O.*
dc.contributor.authorPimentel, S.*
dc.contributor.authorMohamad, I.S.*
dc.contributor.authorYusoff, A.R.*
dc.contributor.authorZarnescu, N.O.*
dc.contributor.authorCalu, V.*
dc.contributor.authorLitvin, A.*
dc.contributor.authorLesko, D.*
dc.contributor.authorElmehrath, A.*
dc.contributor.authorElshami, M.*
dc.contributor.authorde Santibañes, M.*
dc.contributor.authorGundara, J.*
dc.contributor.authorAlawadhi, K.*
dc.contributor.authorLui, R.*
dc.contributor.authorJulianov, A.*
dc.contributor.authorRalon, S.*
dc.contributor.authorGarzali, I.-U.*
dc.contributor.authorMachain, G.M.*
dc.contributor.authorVillalabeitia, I.*
dc.contributor.authorQuispe-Cruz, D.A.*
dc.contributor.authorOrantia, A.C.C.*
dc.contributor.authorWal?dziak, M.*
dc.contributor.authorde Sá, T.C.*
dc.contributor.authorAli, S.M.*
dc.contributor.authorKovacevic, B.*
dc.contributor.authorNoel, C.*
dc.contributor.authorAbdalah, H.M.*
dc.contributor.authorKchaou, A.*
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dc.contributor.authorAnsaloni, L.*
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dc.contributor.authorGuerrieri, M.*
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dc.contributor.authorDi Lorenzo, N.*
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dc.contributor.authorChiarugi, M.*
dc.contributor.authorDi Menno Stavron, J.*
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dc.contributor.authorValenzuela, J.I.*
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dc.contributor.authorTefay, J.*
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dc.contributor.authorCouto Gomes, F.*
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dc.contributor.authorMohamed, S.*
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dc.contributor.authorIoannidis, O.*
dc.contributor.authorAnestiadou, E.*
dc.contributor.authorLoutzidou, L.*
dc.contributor.authorKonstantinidis, K.*
dc.contributor.authorKonstantinidou, S.*
dc.contributor.authorManatakis, D.*
dc.contributor.authorAcheimastos, V.*
dc.contributor.authorTasis, N.*
dc.contributor.authorMichalopoulos, N.*
dc.contributor.authorKokoropoulos, P.*
dc.contributor.authorPapadoliopoulou, M.*
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dc.contributor.authorD'Ambrosio, G.*
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dc.contributor.authorCasadei, M.*
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dc.contributor.authorManoochehri, F.*
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dc.contributor.authorManca, R.*
dc.contributor.authorMurgia, R.*
dc.contributor.authorPiras, E.*
dc.contributor.authorConti, L.*
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dc.contributor.authorSegalini, E.*
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dc.contributor.authorMagee, C.*
dc.contributor.authorAhmed, S.*
dc.contributor.authorDavies, B.*
dc.contributor.authorApollos, J.*
dc.contributor.authorMcCormack, K.*
dc.contributor.authorChoudhary, H.*
dc.contributor.authorDoulias, T.*
dc.contributor.authorMorrison, T.*
dc.contributor.authorPalepa, A.*
dc.contributor.authorCal, F.B.*
dc.contributor.authorSánchez, L.*
dc.contributor.authorDomínguez, F.*
dc.contributor.authorAl-Raimi, I.*
dc.contributor.authorAlshargabi, H.*
dc.contributor.authorMeead, A.*
dc.contributor.authorChooklin, S.*
dc.contributor.authorChuklin, S.*
dc.contributor.authorBilyak, A.*
dc.date.accessioned2025-09-09T12:45:11Z
dc.date.available2025-09-09T12:45:11Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.identifier.citationPodda M, Pellino G, Di Saverio S, Coccolini F, Pacella D, Cioffi SPB, et al. Infected pancreatic necrosis: outcomes and clinical predictors of mortality. A post hoc analysis of the MANCTRA-1 international study. Updates in Surgery. 2023;75(3):493-522.
dc.identifier.issn2038-3312
dc.identifier.otherhttps://portalcientifico.sergas.gal//documentos/642045c2e1b5e93884fa8ae1
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11940/21640
dc.description.abstractThe identification of high-risk patients in the early stages of infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is critical, because it could help the clinicians to adopt more effective management strategies. We conducted a post hoc analysis of the MANCTRA-1 international study to assess the association between clinical risk factors and mortality among adult patients with IPN. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify prognostic factors of mortality. We identified 247 consecutive patients with IPN hospitalised between January 2019 and December 2020. History of uncontrolled arterial hypertension (p = 0.032; 95% CI 1.135-15.882; aOR 4.245), qSOFA (p = 0.005; 95% CI 1.359-5.879; aOR 2.828), renal failure (p = 0.022; 95% CI 1.138-5.442; aOR 2.489), and haemodynamic failure (p = 0.018; 95% CI 1.184-5.978; aOR 2.661), were identified as independent predictors of mortality in IPN patients. Cholangitis (p = 0.003; 95% CI 1.598-9.930; aOR 3.983), abdominal compartment syndrome (p = 0.032; 95% CI 1.090-6.967; aOR 2.735), and gastrointestinal/intra-abdominal bleeding (p = 0.009; 95% CI 1.286-5.712; aOR 2.710) were independently associated with the risk of mortality. Upfront open surgical necrosectomy was strongly associated with the risk of mortality (p < 0.001; 95% CI 1.912-7.442; aOR 3.772), whereas endoscopic drainage of pancreatic necrosis (p = 0.018; 95% CI 0.138-0.834; aOR 0.339) and enteral nutrition (p = 0.003; 95% CI 0.143-0.716; aOR 0.320) were found as protective factors. Organ failure, acute cholangitis, and upfront open surgical necrosectomy were the most significant predictors of mortality. Our study confirmed that, even in a subgroup of particularly ill patients such as those with IPN, upfront open surgery should be avoided as much as possible. Study protocol registered in ClinicalTrials.Gov (I.D. Number NCT04747990). Graphical abstract: [Figure not available: see fulltext.].
dc.description.sponsorshipOpen access funding provided by Universita degli Studi di Cagliari within the CRUI-CARE Agreement. This research has not received any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.
dc.languageeng
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/*
dc.subject.meshAdult *
dc.subject.meshHumans *
dc.subject.meshDrainage *
dc.subject.meshEndoscopy *
dc.subject.meshEnteral Nutrition *
dc.subject.meshIntraabdominal Infections *
dc.subject.meshPancreatitis, Acute Necrotizing *
dc.subject.meshRisk Factors *
dc.titleInfected pancreatic necrosis: outcomes and clinical predictors of mortality. A post hoc analysis of the MANCTRA-1 international study
dc.typeArtigo
dc.authorsophosPodda, M.; Pellino, G.; Di Saverio, S.; Coccolini, F.; Pacella, D.; Cioffi, S.P.B.; Virdis, F.; Balla, A.; Ielpo, B.; Pata, F.; Poillucci, G.; Ortenzi, M.; Damaskos, D.; De Simone, B.; Sartelli, M.; Leppaniemi, A.; Jayant, K.; Catena, F.; Giuliani, A.; Di Martino, M.; Pisanu, A.; Gerardi, C.; Gourgiotis, S.; Riboni, C.; Giordano, A.; Ferrario, L.; Agnoletti, V.; Kruger, Y.; Mole, D.; Agresta, F.; Prieto Calvo, M.; Wilson, M.; Soggiu, F.; Hamdan, A.; Gomes, C.A.; Fraga, G.; Ioannidis, A.; Demetrashvili, Z.; Sahani, S.; Bains, L.; Khamees, A.; Ababneh, H.; Aljaiuossi, O.; Pimentel, S.; Mohamad, I.S.; Yusoff, A.R.; Zarnescu, N.O.; Calu, V.; Litvin, A.; Lesko, D.; Elmehrath, A.; Elshami, M.; de Santibañes, M.; Gundara, J.; Alawadhi, K.; Lui, R.; Julianov, A.; Ralon, S.; Garzali, I.-U.; Machain, G.M.; Villalabeitia, I.; Quispe-Cruz, D.A.; Orantia, A.C.C.; Wal?dziak, M.; de Sá, T.C.; Ali, S.M.; Kovacevic, B.; Noel, C.; Abdalah, H.M.; Kchaou, A.; Isik, A.; Ansaloni, L.; Biffl, W.; Guerrieri, M.; Sartori, A.; Abradelo, M.; Nigri, G.; Di Lorenzo, N.; Mingoli, A.; Chiarugi, M.; Di Menno Stavron, J.; Mazza, O.; Valenzuela, J.I.; Pachajoa, D.A.P.; Alvarez, F.A.; Liaño, J.E.; Tefay, J.; Alshaikh, A.; Hasan, L.; Couto Gomes, F.; Calderan, T.R.A.; Hirano, E.S.; Dardanov, D.; Saroglu, A.; Atanasov, B.; Belev, N.; Kovachev, N.; Chan, S.M.; Lok, H.-T.; Salcedo, D.; Robayo, D.; Triviño, M.A.; Manak, J.; de Araujo, J.; Sethi, A.; Awad, A.; Elbadawy, M.; Farid, A.; Hanafy, A.; Nafea, A.; Sherief, G.; Salah Alzhraa, A.; Abdelsalam, W.; Emile, S.; Elfallal, A.; Elfeki, H.; Elghadban, H.; Shoma, A.; Shetiwy, M.; Elbahnasawy, M.; Mohamed, S.; Hamed, E.F.; Khalil, U.A.; Chouillard, E.; Gumbs, A.; Police, A.; Mabilia, A.; Khutsishvili, K.; Tvaladze, A.; Ioannidis, O.; Anestiadou, E.; Loutzidou, L.; Konstantinidis, K.; Konstantinidou, S.; Manatakis, D.; Acheimastos, V.; Tasis, N.; Michalopoulos, N.; Kokoropoulos, P.; Papadoliopoulou, M.; Sotiropoulou, M.; Kapiris, S.; Metaxas, P.; Tsouknidas, I.; Kefili, D.; Petrakis, G.; Synekidou, E.; Dakis, K.; Alexandridou, E.; Papadopoulos, A.; Chouliaras, C.; Mouzakis, O.; Mulita, F.; Maroulis, I.; Vailas, M.; Triantafyllou, T.; Theodorou, D.; Lostoridis, E.; Nagorni, E.-A.; Tourountzi, P.; Baili, E.; Charalabopoulos, A.; Liakakos, T.; Schizas, D.; Kozadinos, A.; Syllaios, A.; Machairas, N.; Kykalos, S.; Stamopoulos, P.; Delis, S.; Farazi-Chongouki, C.; Kalaitzakis, E.; Giannarakis, M.; Lasithiotakis, K.; Petra, G.; Kalaitzakis, E.; Gupta, A.; Medappil, N.; Muthukrishnan, V.; Kamar, J.; Lal, P.; Agarwal, R.; Magnoli, M.; Aonzo, P.; Serventi, A.; Di Lascio, P.; Pinto, M.; Bergamini, C.; Bottari, A.; Fortuna, L.; Martellucci, J.; Cicako, A.; Miglietta, C.; Morino, M.; Delogu, D.; Picchetto, A.; Assenza, M.; D'Ambrosio, G.; Argenio, G.; Armellino, M.F.; Ioia, G.; Occhionorelli, S.; Andreotti, D.; Domenico, L.; Luppi, D.; Casadei, M.; Di Donato, L.; Manoochehri, F.; Marchese, T.R.L.; Sergi, W.; Manca, R.; Murgia, R.; Piras, E.; Conti, L.; Gianazza, S.; Rizzi, A.; Segalini, E.; Monti, M.; Iiritano, E.; Mariani, N.M.; De Nicola, E.; Scifo, G.; Pignata, G.; Andreuccetti, J.; Fleres, F.; Clarizia, G.; Spolini, A.; Biloslavo, A.; Germani, P.; Mastronardi, M.; Bogoni, S.; Palmisano, S.; De Manzini, N.; Marino, M.V.; Martines, G.; Trigiante, G.; Lagouvardou, E.; Anania, G.; Bombardini, C.; Oppici, D.; Pilia, T.; Murzi, V.; Gessa, E.; Bracale, U.; Di Nuzzo, M.M.; Peltrini, R.; Salvetti, F.; Viganò, J.; Sganga, G.; Bianchi, V.; Fransvea, P.; Fontana, T.; Sarro, G.; Dinuzzi, V.P.; Scaravilli, L.; Papa, M.V.; Jovine, E.; Ciabatti, G.; Mastrangelo, L.; Rottoli, M.; Ricci, C.; Russo, I.S.; Aiolfi, A.; Bona, D.; Lombardo, F.; Cianci, P.; Sederino, M.; Bini, R.; Chiara, O.; Cioffi, S.; Cantafio, S.; Coretti, G.; Licitra, E.; Savino, G.; Grimaldi, S.; Porfidia, R.; Moggia, E.; Garino, M.; Marafante, C.; Pesce, A.; Fabbri, N.; Feo, C.V.; Marra, E.; Troian, M.; Drigo, D.; Nagliati, C.; Muratore, A.; Danna, R.; Murgese, A.; Crespi, M.; Guerci, C.; Frontali, A.; Ferrari, L.; Favi, F.; Picariello, E.; Rampini, A.; D'Acapito, F.; Ercolani, G.; Solaini, L.; Palmieri, F.; Calì, M.; Ferrara, F.; Muttillo, I.A.; Muttillo, E.M.; Picardi, B.; Galleano, R.; Badran, A.; Ghazouani, O.; Cervellera, M.; Campanella, G.; Papa, G.; Di Bella, A.; Perrone, G.; Petracca, G.L.; Prioriello, C.; Giuffrida, M.; Cozzani, F.; Rossini, M.; Inama, M.; Butturini, G.; Moretto, G.; Morelli, L.; Candio, G.; Guadagni, S.; Cicuttin, E.; Cremonini, C.; Tartaglia, D.; Genovese, V.; Cillara, N.; Cannavera, A.; Deserra, A.; Picciariello, A.; Papagni, V.; Vincenti, L.; Bagaglini, G.; Sica, G.; Lapolla, P.; Brachini, G.; Bono, D.; Nicotera, A.; Zago, M.; Sammartano, F.; Benuzzi, L.; Stella, M.; Rossi, S.; Cerioli, A.; Puccioni, C.; Olmi, S.; Rubicondo, C.; Uccelli, M.; Guida, A.; Lepiane, P.; Sasia, D.; Giraudo, G.; Salomone, S.; Belloni, E.; Cossa, A.; Lancellotti, F.; Caronna, R.; Chirletti, P.; Saullo, P.; Troiano, R.; Mucilli, F.; Barone, M.; Ippoliti, M.; Grande, M.; Sensi, B.; Siragusa, L.; Santini, A.; Di Carlo, I.; Veroux, M.; Gioco, R.; Veroux, G.; Currò, G.; Ammendola, M.; Komaei, I.; Navarra, G.; Tonini, V.; Sartarelli, L.; Ceresoli, M.; Perrone, S.; Roccamatisi, L.; Millo, P.; Brachet Contul, R.; Ponte, E.; Zuin, M.; Portale, G.; Tonello, A.S.; Fratini, G.; Bianchini, M.; Perotti, B.; Doria, E.; Lunghi, E.G.; Visconti, D.; Al-Shami, K.; Awadi, S.; Buwaitel, M.M.K.; Naffa', M.F.N.; Samhouri, A.; Sawalha, H.; Ani, M.F.C.; Fathil, I.N.A.; Huei, J.; Mohamad, I.S.; Beristain-Hernandez, J.-L.; Garcia-Meza, A.; Sepulveda-Rdriguez, R.; Hernández, E.E.L.; Pinzón, C.L.A.; Condoy, J.N.; García, F.C.B.; Sadik, M.; Kadir, B.; Devi, J.; Seerani, N.; Zainab, null; Sohail-Asghar, M.; Afzal, A.; Akbar, A.; Lohse, H.S.; Lohse, H.S.; Cabrera, Z.S.L.; Seto, G.S.Y.; Chiuyari, J.R.; Ordemar, J.; Rodríguez, M.; Orantia-Carlos, A.C.C.; Quitoy, M.A.; Kwiatkowski, A.; Mawlichanów, M.; Rocha, M.; Soares, C.; Stoian, A.R.; Draghici, A.D.; Grigorean, V.T.; Radulescu, R.B.; Costea, R.V.; Zarnescu, E.C.; Kurtenkov, M.; Gendrikson, G.; Alla-Angelina, V.; Arina, T.; Kaldarov, A.; Gachabayov, M.; Abdullaev, A.; Milentijevic, M.; Karamarkovic, M.; Panyko, A.; Radonak, J.; Soltes, M.; Morán, L.Á.; García, H.C.; Vega, P.S.; Estevez, S.; Ausania, F.; Farguell, J.; González-Abós, C.; Sánchez-Cabús, S.; Martín, B.; Molina, V.; Oms, L.; Ilzarbe, L.; Feijóo, E.P.; Perra, E.S.; Rojas-Bonet, N.; Penalba-Palmí, R.; Pérez-Bru, S.; Tur-Martínez, J.; Álvarez-Torrado, A.; Domingo-Gonzalez, M.; Tejedor-Tejada, J.; del Alamo, Y.G.; Mendoza-Moreno, F.; García-Moreno-Nisa, F.; Matías-García, B.; Durán, M.; Calleja-Lozano, R.; de Villar, J.M.P.; Sánchez-Guillén, L.; Caravaca, I.; Triguero-Cánovas, D.; Aparicio, A.C.M.; Meléndez, B.D.; Palacios, A.M.; Landaluce-Olavarria, A.; De Francisco, M.; Estraviz-Mateos, B.; Alconchel, F.; Nicolás-López, T.; Ramírez, P.; Muñoz-Cruzado, V.D.; Ciuró, F.P.; del Pozo, E.P.; Pizarro, S.O.; Cabrera, V.H.; Bayo, J.M.; Hamid, H.K.S.; Roesel, R.; Cristaudi, A.; Abbas, K.; Ali, I.; Tlili, A.; Bayhan, H.; Türko?lu, M.A.; Uzunoglu, M.Y.; Azamat, I.F.; Omarov, N.; Uymaz, D.S.; Altintoprak, F.; Akin, E.; First, N.; Das, K.; Ozer, N.; Seker, A.; Kara, Y.; Bozkurt, M.A.; Kocata?, A.; Atici, S.D.; Akalin, M.; Calik, B.; Colak, E.; Altinel, Y.; Meric, S.; Aktimur, Y.E.; Hudson, V.; Duval, J.-L.; Khan, M.; Saad, A.; Kaur, M.; Bradley, A.; Fox, K.; Tomasi, I.; Beasley, D.; Prasanti, A.K.; Kotecha, P.; Ebied, H.; Paul, M.; Sheth, H.; Gerogiannis, I.; Gaber, M.; Sheikh, Z.; Seth, S.; Kunitsyna, M.; Leo, C.A.; Bellato, V.; Zafar, N.; Elserafy, A.; Bond-smith, G.; Tebala, G.; Mathur, P.; Abid, I.; Chidumije, N.; Sandhar, P.; Ullah, S.O.Z.; Lezama, T.; Anwaar, M.H.; Magee, C.; Ahmed, S.; Davies, B.; Apollos, J.; McCormack, K.; Choudhary, H.; Doulias, T.; Morrison, T.; Palepa, A.; Cal, F.B.; Sánchez, L.; Domínguez, F.; Al-Raimi, I.; Alshargabi, H.; Meead, A.; Chooklin, S.; Chuklin, S.; Bilyak, A.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s13304-023-01488-6
dc.identifier.sophos642045c2e1b5e93884fa8ae1
dc.issue.number3
dc.journal.titleUpdates in Surgery*
dc.organizationServizo Galego de Saúde::Áreas Sanitarias (A.S.) - Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Vigo::Cirurxía xeral e dixestiva
dc.organizationServizo Galego de Saúde::Áreas Sanitarias (A.S.) - Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Ferrol::Cirurxía xeral e dixestiva
dc.page.initial493
dc.page.final522
dc.relation.projectIDUniversita degli Studi di Cagliari within the CRUI-CARE Agreement
dc.relation.projectIDMRC [MR/P008887/1] Funding Source: UKRI
dc.relation.projectIDMedical Research Council [MR/P008887/1] Funding Source: researchfish
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s13304-023-01488-6
dc.rights.accessRightsopenAccess*
dc.subject.keywordAS Vigo
dc.subject.keywordCHUVI
dc.subject.keywordAS Ferrol
dc.subject.keywordCHUF
dc.typefidesArtículo Científico (incluye Original, Original breve, Revisión Sistemática y Meta-análisis)
dc.typesophosArtículo Original
dc.volume.number75


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